Market Crash Coming In 2022

Market Crash Coming In 2022

Market Crash Coming In 2022

Get Prepared While You Still Have Time

Many things are at play in this but The Great Reset is prominent

Market Crash Coming In 2022

#fed #stocks #crash

How the Fed will Trigger a Market Crash in 2022

92,091 views
Oct 27, 2021

114K subscribers

 
The last year and a half has seen unprecedented levels of market intervention by central banks and central governments along with record levels of monetary expansion. The easy monetary and fiscal policy has led to asset prices and consumer prices skyrocketing everywhere you look. Now, the Federal Reserve faces the necessary decision to tighten its policy or risk hyperinflation. However, this will be the trigger that causes the next stock market crash, just as the current boom is caused by their easy policy. Learn How to Hedge with Options: My Options Course (Beginners) https://gum.co/yvRjw My Options Course (Advanced) https://gum.co/CIqDW Join Me at Market Disruptors Live in November! https://go.1markmoss.com/joseph

Market Crash Coming In 2022

Market Crash Coming In 2022

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FULL VIDEO TRANSCRIPT:

00:00
what’s up everybody my name is joe brown
00:01
and this is heresy financial right now
00:04
it looks to me like the stock market is
00:06
currently headed higher in a final epic
00:10
rally before a crash now if you’ve been
00:12
following me for a while you know that i
00:14
was forecasting a crash all the way back
00:16
in 2019 and then when it was crashing in
00:19
2020 for other reasons than what i had
00:22
originally thought obviously i thought
00:24
it was going to go much lower i
00:26
underestimated the impact of the federal
00:27
reserve would have at first but then in
00:29
april or may of 2020 i changed my mind
00:32
and i’ve been bullish on the stock
00:35
market ever since now i think we are
00:38
nearing the end and just like the
00:39
federal reserve helped put the bottom in
00:41
in march of 2020 i think they are going
00:44
to help put the top in in 2022 so in
00:47
this video i’m going to explain to you
00:49
exactly what the federal reserve is
00:51
going to do that’s going to cause a
00:53
crash when the federal reserve is going
00:56
to do this and number three how the
00:58
mechanisms work that will make it play
01:00
out this way ready let’s dive in
01:06
okay so at this point in long-term
01:09
economic cycles you’ve seen the
01:12
financialization of everything near the
01:14
end of the dominance of economies that
01:16
own the global reserve currency
01:19
everything becomes one trade business
01:22
land and stores of value all move in
01:25
tandem against the currency at the sole
01:29
discretion of the central bank we have
01:31
seen over the last two years now an
01:33
unprecedented expansion of both the
01:36
money supply and the intervention in our
01:39
economy by the central bank the results
01:41
have been record high asset prices and
01:44
record-breaking inflation now at this
01:46
point the federal reserve faces the
01:48
unpopular decision of pulling back on
01:51
its easy money policy historically this
01:53
comes in two forms either raising
01:55
interest rates or selling assets because
01:58
in contrast to what they’re currently
02:00
doing which is buying assets they’re
02:02
taking assets out of the economy and
02:03
injecting new money that adds money to
02:06
the economy when they sell assets that
02:09
extracts money out of the economy it
02:11
contracts the money supply now they’ve
02:13
stated very clearly the economy is not
02:15
yet strong enough to raise interest
02:18
rates so the first thing that they plan
02:20
on doing is reducing their amount of
02:22
asset purchases until they get to zero
02:25
and then after that point they will
02:26
start selling and raising interest rates
02:28
at some point so what is the timeline
02:31
for this when will this tightening
02:33
happen and when will this tightening
02:35
cause a crash well a crash as a result
02:37
of tightening will definitely not happen
02:39
until at least tightening begins so that
02:42
pretty much rules out this year because
02:44
they’ve stated that they are going to
02:45
let us know when it’s going to happen
02:47
it’s coming up in the end of the year so
02:48
the earliest that they’ll begin to lower
02:50
their asset purchases is closer to the
02:52
end of this year but it does take a
02:54
little bit of time for the effects of
02:56
monetary policy to be felt in an economy
02:58
so it likely will not be instantaneous
03:00
but how long will it take well we have
03:02
to take a look at the federal reserve’s
03:04
timeline for tapering if all goes
03:07
according to the plan the federal
03:08
reserve would like to have their total
03:10
asset purchases per month down to zero
03:13
purchases by the end of 2022 if not a
03:16
little bit earlier this is a fairly
03:17
aggressive timeline for reducing their
03:20
current minimum of 120 billion dollars
03:22
worth of asset purchases every single
03:24
month now here’s the kicker this tape
03:26
ring will also begin at the same time in
03:29
which we’re likely to see the passing of
03:31
spending bills and the beginning of
03:33
massive spending plans by congress to
03:36
the tune of 1 trillion here 2 trillion
03:38
there potentially much more we also know
03:40
that the government can only spend this
03:41
extra money by borrowing more now they
03:44
get a fairly low interest rate on their
03:47
debt that they’re borrowing because
03:48
they’ve got a buyer of government bonds
03:50
in the system right now buying at least
03:52
80 billion dollars worth of bonds every
03:54
single month we also know that bond
03:56
prices and bond interest rates are
03:59
inversely correlated so if you’ve got a
04:01
buyer the federal reserve buying 80
04:03
billion dollars per month keeping prices
04:06
uh high and keeping interest rates low
04:08
and then that buyer leaves right at the
04:11
same time as demand for borrowing picks
04:14
up and they want to borrow more that is
04:16
going to have an effect of raising
04:18
interest rates so even without the
04:20
federal reserve raising the federal
04:22
funds rate which is the only interest
04:24
rate that they directly control you’re
04:26
going to see an increase in yields and
04:28
increase in interest rates across the
04:30
yield curve this means that over the
04:32
course of 2022 we will see an increase
04:35
in interest rates we will see a slowdown
04:38
in the growth of the money supply if not
04:40
an outright decline in the money supply
04:43
and at the same time probably a blow off
04:45
top in stocks as they currently look
04:48
headed much higher these three things in
04:51
tandem paint a very ugly picture that
04:53
almost certainly point to a crash
04:55
happening sometime in 2022 and here is
04:59
why prices are information if total
05:02
pizza production this year gets cut in
05:05
half then total pizza consumption must
05:08
also get cut in half there’s no way
05:10
around it because the pizza that’s
05:11
consumed is the same as the pizza that
05:13
is produced so if pizza production does
05:16
get cut in half there must be
05:18
information sent out to everybody that
05:21
somebody is going to have to consume
05:24
less pizza now this could be done top
05:26
down with a small committee of
05:29
highly educated people deciding hey you
05:32
over here you’re going to consume zero
05:34
pizza this year you get to consume all
05:36
the pizza you originally would have
05:37
making the decision based on purely fair
05:40
and unbiased reasons uh mainly lobbying
05:43
and other pockets being lined through
05:45
bribes however in a free market and for
05:48
this example we’re using a purely free
05:50
market the pricing system is how
05:53
information is distributed about
05:56
relative scarcity of goods and services
05:59
so if production of pizzas cut in half
06:01
prices will double let’s say now if the
06:03
price of pizza doubles there will
06:06
absolutely be some people who will say
06:08
i’m going to buy the exact same amount
06:10
of pizza prices be damned i will get my
06:13
pizza and then there will certainly be
06:15
others who look at the price doubling
06:16
and say i’m just not going to buy pizza
06:18
so in free markets
06:20
prices are unfiltered information
06:23
sent out through the economy about the
06:26
relative scarcity of a good what most
06:28
people don’t think about however is the
06:31
price of money because money has a price
06:33
as well the price of money is what we
06:35
call interest rates it’s simply the cost
06:38
you pay to get your hands on new money
06:40
so how does a free market handle the
06:43
cost of money well the same way it does
06:45
it with pizza let’s say interest rates
06:47
are very low this is going to signal a
06:49
low cost of money which means remember
06:52
pricing scarcity abundance that means it
06:54
is sending the signal that money is
06:57
abundant and in a free market that would
06:59
be the pool of savings so the low
07:02
interest rate environment is sending a
07:04
signal there’s a massive pool of savings
07:07
to draw it means the savers are
07:10
competing to get their money put to work
07:13
if i want to borrow i can shop different
07:15
lenders as they try and outbid each
07:17
other offer lower and lower rates in
07:18
order to get my business once i borrow i
07:21
put that money to work and remember no
07:23
fractional reserve banking this is not
07:25
an expansion of the money supply this is
07:27
simply the signal saying relative to
07:29
everything else money is abundant right
07:31
now now let’s see the opposite situation
07:33
interest rates are very high who has the
07:36
advantageous position here the saver the
07:38
lender because borrowers are now
07:40
competing for capital because money is
07:42
scarce compared to the stock of goods
07:44
and services borrowers are offering
07:46
higher and higher rates until they win
07:48
and they can get their hands on that
07:49
borrowed capital again remember the
07:51
total money supply isn’t expanding or
07:53
contracting here it is only abundant or
07:55
scarce relative to everything else in
07:57
the economy so low interest rate
07:59
environment this is a growth period it’s
08:01
sending the signal hey be risky take
08:03
risks deploy capital spend it take out
08:06
debt low risk environment right now
08:09
encourages growth the capital resources
08:11
are there in a high interest rate
08:13
environment those resources are very low
08:15
therefore the signal that it sends is
08:18
high risk don’t borrow money unless it’s
08:21
very worth it be very careful how you
08:23
spend your money don’t take large risks
08:25
we need to preserve the capital stock
08:27
and it incentivizes then new savers
08:30
build up that savings pool because it’s
08:32
it’s giving a large incentive it’s a
08:34
high interest rate for anybody who does
08:35
have savings so it incentivizes now
08:37
since that capital those capital
08:39
resources are depleted build that back
08:41
up that savings pool is small this
08:43
system says build it bigger now enter
08:45
the interventionistas the ivory tower
08:48
elites the harvard intellectuals who
08:50
think that they can outsmart
08:52
decentralized freedom with a few phds
08:55
who have no real world experience they
08:58
look at this system and they say
09:00
i can do better and then with a monopoly
09:02
on the creation of money control of the
09:04
banking system legalized fraud called
09:07
fractional reserve banking they control
09:09
the expansion or the contraction of the
09:10
money supply and interest rates remember
09:13
interest rates are the cost of money and
09:15
remember prices send information about
09:18
the relative scarcity or abundance of
09:19
anything including money so when the
09:21
federal reserve decides to lower
09:24
interest rates they are sending
09:25
information out into the economy that
09:28
money is abundant that the savings pool
09:31
is massive and abundant and is primed
09:33
for growth but that’s not reality they
09:36
are sending a false signal the savings
09:38
pool is not large it’s very small this
09:41
causes investing debt and spending in a
09:43
way that is not in line with economic
09:46
reality because economic actors make
09:48
decisions on false information this is
09:50
what some economists refer to as a
09:52
misallocation of resources or
09:54
malinvestments you build something on
09:56
the assumption that the boom that’s
09:58
going on right now is real when in
10:00
reality it was fake and it only looked
10:02
like it was there as a result of the
10:04
fake money expansion now at this point
10:06
the central bank has two options
10:08
continue their game and let the currency
10:11
collapse or pull it back and watch the
10:14
fake growth collapse and in the last 10
10:16
years almost every single market crash
10:18
has been associated with some form of
10:21
federal reserve tightening whether
10:23
that’s raising interest rates or selling
10:25
assets because both of these are
10:27
withdrawing currency from the system
10:30
when they’ve just spent a significant
10:32
amount of time sending a signal to the
10:34
system that the savings pool is large
10:36
and abundant and the following
10:38
increasing scarcity of money pulls the
10:40
house of cards down so in reality it’s
10:42
not the tightening that caused the crash
10:44
is the manufactured boom that made the
10:46
crash inevitable so in summary we know
10:49
that the federal reserve plans to begin
10:50
tightening at the end of this year they
10:52
will be on an aggressive timeline to
10:54
reduce their asset purchases to zero
10:56
well before the end of 2022. this will
10:58
inevitably push interest rates higher
11:00
because it will coincide with much
11:02
higher government borrowing and just as
11:05
monetary easing caused the boom over the
11:08
last year and a half so will monetary
11:10
tightening cause the crash next year
11:13
because the easy money sent a false
11:15
signal to the economy that caused mal
11:17
investments and the tight monetary
11:19
policy will slingshot the economy in the
11:22
other direction as the misallocation of
11:24
resources takes its toll and finally if
11:27
you haven’t heard i will be in miami
11:29
from november 12th through november 14th
11:32
for mark moss’s market disrupters live
11:34
conference it’s going to be a fantastic
11:36
event focused on surviving the great
11:39
reset i would love to see you there if
11:41
you can make it sign up i’ve got it
11:43
linked in the description below as
11:45
always really appreciate you guys thank
11:47
you so much for watching have a great
11:48
day
11:53
[Music]
12:00
you